2024 Election Predictions. And check here soon after the first polls close at 6pm est / 11pm gmt on. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases:
Updating average for each candidate in 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll’s recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. The colored gradients are used to show higher probabilities for harris or trump, deepening as the market likelihood of winning increases: